Workload: 100%
Shape the forecasts that power our trading decisions. Join us to turn wind, solar, consumption and price forecasts into measurable trading and risk outcomes across the Nordic power markets.
What you will do:
Own the end-to-end quality of forecasts used by the Physical Trading Desk – wind, solar, consumption and production forecasts, and price forecasts for ancillary services, imbalance and spot markets
Define forecast-quality KPIs, monitor performance continuously and lead root-cause analysis when forecasts miss the mark
Develop and maintain ensemble methods that combine internal models and vendor forecasts to maximise accuracy and commercial value
Build and operationalize statistical and ML forecasting models together with Intraday/Quant, Physical Operations and IT, including monitoring and fallback logic for live systems
Manage relationships with external forecast and weather-data vendors, benchmark their performance and lead build-vs-buy decisions
Take part in the rolling day-ahead trading schedule, including weekends and public holidays, to stay close to how forecasts are used in live trading decisions
What you bring & who you are:
A master's degree (or equivalent) in a highly quantitative field such as physics, mathematics/statistics, meteorology, engineering, data science or computer science
Experience in forecasting, quantitative analytics or data science – ideally within energy or power markets
Strong knowledge of statistical/ML forecasting methods, including time series analysis, probabilistic forecasting and ensemble/meta-forecasting
Programming skills in Python and SQL; experience with Git and Azure DevOps is an advantage
A commercial mindset – you connect forecast quality directly to trading outcomes and risk, and communicate technical concepts clearly to traders and senior management
Hands-on experience with wind and solar forecasting; prior exposure to the Vitec Aiolos forecasting suite is an advantage
Fluent in English; a Nordic language (Swedish, Norwegian, Finnish or Danish) is an advantage
Even if you don't meet every point, we'd love to hear from you – especially if you're a strong communicator who enjoys mentoring colleagues and building forecasting competence across a team
About the team:
You'll join a close-knit team at the heart of our Physical Trading Desk in Malmö, working alongside traders, quants and engineers who value curiosity, collaboration and diverse perspectives.
At Axpo Group, we are dedicated to fostering a culture of non-discrimination, tolerance, and inclusion. As an equal opportunity employer, we welcome applications regardless of race and ethnicity, gender identity and expression, sexual orientation, age, disability, as well as socioeconomic, cultural, and religious background. We are committed to ensuring a respectful and inclusive recruiting process and workplace for everyone.